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World cup bets both teams to score in 2nd half 5/2 win over2.5 goals 6/5 win get tonights tips £5 email betzinplayboss@gmail.com

Distance bet up after 4 races 5.5 pts profit enough said

Private members distance bet was UTTOXETER OVER 38LENGTHS 7/4 3PT STAKE!NOW BEING BOUGH ON SPORTING INDEX AT 53LENGTHS

Costa Rica Vs Greece - this one is throwing up some unexpected stats

Think Tank predictions Costa Rica - 27.8%,  Draw 35.7%, Greece 36.5%
if Costa Rica set as home team     - 35.8%   Draw 36.1%, Greece 28.1%   ( I think that is more like a true reflection )

Think Tank odds                   Think Tank odds with Costa Rica set as home team       Actual Odds       Value                              Value with Costa Rica set as home

Costa Rica = 100/27.8 = 3.6                 100/35.8 = 2.79                                             2.62                  2.62/3.6 = 0.73 = -27%                 2.62/2.79 = -6% value
Draw         = 100/35.7 = 2.8                 100/36.1 = 2.77                                             3.1                     3.1/2.8 = 1.076 = 7.64%               3.1/2.77 = 11.91% value
Greece      = 100/36.5 = 2.74                100/28.1= 3.56                                              3.3                     3.3/2.74 = 1.204 = 20.44%           3.3/3.56 = -7% value

Costa Rica are not playing at home, however they will have more support and will have advantages in terms of distance from home and acclimitisation to condiitons, therefore it could be argued that they have a certain % advantage of playing at home. With neutral settings the value is with the Greek win at 3.3. With Costa Rica set as home team the value is with the draw at 3.1. I think we have meet the middle ground here and will go for a Asian Handicap at Greece 0 at 2.2 . A win if Greece win and a refund if they draw. Draw is attractive at 3.1 and under 1.5gls also at 2.38 given that fish tank predicts that 79.9% of cases game will end 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. Or correct score market at 6, 7, 8 on those 3 outcomes and then look to trade out on in play markets or lay off in exchanges. Quite a few options to look at I think the safest are Greek 0, Under 1.5 gls and if you know what you are doing trading the correct score market.

Value bet - Greece Asian Handicap 0 at 2.2 - 1 pt
                - Under 1.5gls at 2.38                  - 3 pt
                - trading correct score market at 6  for 0-0- 7 1-0 - 8 0-1     - 1 pt each, can look to trade out.
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